Chapter 1
Introduction
Terms of reference and conduct of the inquiry
1.1
On 14 November 2013, the Senate established the Select Committee on the
National Broadband Network to inquire into and report on the government's
reviews of the National Broadband Network (NBN) and the governance of NBN Co,
with interim reports as the committee sees fit and a final report on or before
10 June 2014.
1.2
The committee's terms of reference identify the following areas of
inquiry:
-
the establishment of the government's strategic review of the NBN
including:
-
the adequacy of the terms of reference,
-
the selection of personnel and expert advisers to the review,
-
the data provided to the strategic review, in particular, any
variation between that data and data used by NBN Co in preparing its annual
report and corporate plan, and
-
the impact of the strategic review on the operational
effectiveness of NBN Co;
-
the outcome of the strategic review of the NBN, including:
-
the extent to which the review fulfilled its terms of reference,
-
the reliability of assumptions made in the review, including,
inter alia, the cost of alternative network equipment, the revenues of NBN Co
under alternative scenarios, construction requirements and access to Telstra's
copper network,
-
the implications of any alternatives considered for the long-term
structure of the industry, in particular, the structural separation of access
networks from retail operations, and
-
any other matters arising from the strategic review;
-
the establishment and findings of the government's cost benefit
analysis;
-
the conduct and findings of the government survey of the
availability of broadband in Australia; and
-
any related matter.[1]
1.3
The committee held eight public hearings between November 2013 and March
2014. It tabled its first interim report on 26 March 2014.
1.4
On 14 May 2014, the Senate agreed to extend the date for the
presentation of the committee's final report to the last sitting day of the
44th Parliament.[2]
The committee subsequently agreed to continue accepting submissions and has
held eight further public hearings since the tabling of the first interim
report. The sixteen hearings held to date have taken place in Canberra, Sydney,
Hobart, Perth and Terrigal (NSW).
1.5
The submissions made to the committee, additional documents provided and
public hearings held are listed in Appendices 1, 2 and 3.
1.6
The committee thanks all those who have assisted with its inquiry to
date, including those who have made submissions and given evidence at hearings.
Structure of this report
1.7
This second interim report examines issues relevant to the committee's
terms of reference since the first interim report, including significant
developments in the rollout of the NBN project, the cost-benefit analysis and
other NBN reviews issued during 2014 and 2015, and the governance and
management of NBN Co.
1.8
The report is structured as follows:
-
chapter 1 (this chapter) outlines the background to the NBN
project and to this inquiry, the key findings of the committee's first interim
report and the government response to that report;
-
chapter 2 analyses relevant developments with the NBN since the
first interim report and any governance issues arising, including progress on implementation
of the government's multi-technology mix (MTM) rollout, the release of the
2014-17 NBN Co corporate plan, the cost per premises review, and the
finalisation of the Revised Agreements between the Commonwealth and Telstra,
and NBN Co and Telstra and Optus;
-
chapter 3 discusses the key findings of NBN Co's Fixed Wireless
and Satellite Review, and related issues around the deployment of fixed
wireless and satellite;
-
chapter 4 examines the Cost-Benefit Analysis and Review of
Regulation prepared for the government by the 'Vertigan Panel' of experts;
-
chapter 5 discusses the Broadband Quality and Availability
report, and related issues around the reliability of its findings and
methodology, and prioritisation in the delivery of the NBN;
-
chapter 6 discusses issues related to NBN Co governance,
including the 'Independent audit - NBN public policy processes April 2008 to
May 2010', known as the Scales Review; and the KordaMentha 'Governance Review'
of NBN Co; and
-
chapter 7 provides a summary of the committee's conclusions and
its recommendations.
1.9
The committee will pursue further lines of inquiry, and continue to
monitor the rollout of the NBN and the governance of the NBN project and NBN
Co, before presenting further interim reports as required, and its final report
to the Senate.
Background to the inquiry
1.10
The history of the NBN is set out in some detail in chapter 1 of the
committee's first interim report.[3]
1.11
In brief, the National Broadband Network was initially proposed by the
Labor government in 2008 as a partnership between government and the private
sector. A panel of experts was established to consider proposals from the
private sector to create the network, but the panel reported to government in
early 2009 that none of the six proposals received was sufficiently well
developed to present a value-for-money outcome.[4]
The expert panel also advised the government that rolling out a fibre to the node
(FTTN) network was unlikely to offer a cost effective upgrade path to a fibre
to the premises (FTTP) network.[5]
1.12
Following this advice, the government decided to consider an alternative
plan for the NBN, which was developed under Cabinet oversight between January
and April 2009. On 7 April 2009 the government announced the establishment of a
new government business entity (later named NBN Co) to design, build and
operate a super-fast National Broadband Network, a national wholesale-only,
open access broadband network using primarily FTTP to provide speeds of up to
100 megabits per second (Mbps) to 90 per cent of premises (later revised upward
to 93 per cent), supplemented by wireless and satellite technologies outside
the fibre footprint.[6]
1.13
Work toward implementing the NBN began shortly after the announcement,
including the commissioning of an implementation study, which was delivered to
the government in March 2010. In December 2010 NBN Co's first corporate plan, and
the government's Statement of Expectations (SoE) to NBN Co were released.
1.14
The commencement date for rollout out the FTTP NBN was effectively
7 March 2012, nine months later than expected, due to the time taken to
finalise the necessary agreements between NBN Co and Telstra Corporation. In
August 2012 NBN Co's second corporate plan was released, covering 2012-15. In
March 2013 NBN Co revised its 2013 forecasts downwards, due to the failure of
its contractors to mobilise the necessary resources to meet the corporate
plan's projected timelines. In May 2013 Telstra temporarily ceased pit
remediation work to resolve asbestos handling issues; the remediation was
recommenced in August.
1.15
In April 2013 the Coalition opposition launched its alternative NBN
policy, promising a faster and cheaper rollout, with all Australians to be
delivered a download speed of up to 25Mbps by 2016, and a completed rollout
with up to 100Mbps by 2019. This would be achieved by replacing the fibre
rollout with a technology mix comprising 71 per cent FTTN and 22 per cent FTTP
in the fixed line footprint.[7]
1.16
Following its election in September 2013, the Coalition government announced
six reviews into the NBN:
-
the Strategic Review;
-
an independent cost-benefit analysis and regulatory review;
-
a broadband quality and availability study;
-
an NBN governance review;
-
an independent audit of the NBN public policy process; and
-
a fixed wireless and satellite review (added by the Strategic Review
in December 2013).
1.17
The Strategic Review was submitted to the government in December 2013.
The Strategic Review was analysed in detail in this committee's first interim
report, which is discussed further below.
1.18
An interim revised SoE for NBN Co was issued by the new government on 24
September 2013, and subsequently replaced by a further revised SoE dated 8
April 2014 and released on 2 May, which remains in effect at the date of this
report. Citing the findings of the Strategic Review, the new SoE set out the
requirement of the government that the NBN transition from a primarily FTTP
model to an 'optimised multi-technology mix' (MTM) under which NBN Co is to
'determine which technologies are used on an area-by-area basis so as to
minimise peak funding, optimise economic returns and enhance the Company's
viability', guided by the Abbott government's policy objective of providing all
premises with download speeds of at least 25Mbps (with commensurate upload
rates), and 90 per cent of fixed line premises with 50Mbps.[8]
1.19
The Broadband Availability and Quality Report was submitted to
government in December 2013, and released in full in February 2014. The
remaining four reviews commissioned by the government were released between May
and October 2014. The cost per premises review was released on 24 February
2015. These are all discussed in detail in the later chapters of this report.
Parliamentary committee scrutiny of
the NBN
1.20
Prior to the establishment of this committee, three parliamentary
committees inquired into various aspects of the NBN project: the first Senate
Select Committee on the NBN from 2008-2010;[9]
a 2010-11 inquiry by the House of Representatives Standing Committee on
Infrastructure and Communications;[10]
and a Joint Committee on the NBN from 2011-13.[11]
In addition, scrutiny of relevant legislation and policy on the NBN continues
to be undertaken from time to time by the Senate Standing Committees on
Environment and Communications, including through the Estimates process.
The committee's first interim report
1.21
The committee's first interim report focused on its terms of reference relating
to the process and content of the 2013 Strategic Review of the NBN. Based on
evidence received up to March 2014, the committee expressed significant
concerns with the accuracy and reliability of the Strategic Review, related government
policy, and governance arrangements for the NBN.
1.22
The committee noted with concern that the Strategic Review was developed
in just five weeks, and was subject to no independent external oversight.[12]
Moreover, the publicly-released version of the Review was heavily redacted, and
the government declined to allow the committee to see the unredacted version
(even in camera).[13]
1.23
Drawing on the evidence available in the redacted report and gathered
from its own hearings and research, the committee found that the assumptions
and conclusions set out in the Strategic Review were unreliable in the case of
all examined scenarios, and the FTTP 'revised outlook' in particular included
financial manipulations and other irregularities. Moreover, important
characteristics of broadband quality such as upload speeds and the comparative reliability
of differing technologies were not taken into account. The committee described
this as a 'systemic fault' in the Strategic Review.[14]
1.24
The committee expressed equally strong concerns with the reliability of
assumptions underpinning the MTM, the recommended option. The committee
assessed that the Strategic Review's estimates relied on cost and revenue
assumptions that were often not based on empirical evidence—perhaps most
notably, the absence of verifiable information about the state of Telstra's
copper network and the remediation and maintenance costs involved in using it
for an FTTN rollout. In addition, the committee observed that increased
operational costs arising from the more complex technology environment of the
MTM were not reflected. Moreover, while the Strategic Review acknowledged the
need for the eventual upgrade of FTTN services to FTTP, no explicit costs were
included for such an upgrade, rendering the MTM costings short-to-medium term
estimates only.
1.25
The committee also expressed concern that the MTM model suggested a
variation in broadband quality based on the socioeconomic profile of different
areas: a discriminatory model inappropriate for a taxpayer-funded government
business enterprise, and one which, in proposing the provision of user-pays
'fibre on demand' to non-FTTP customers, would disadvantage small businesses
and individuals outside the fibre footprint. The committee concluded that the Coalition's
model would entrench broadband inequality in Australia.[15]
1.26
The committee concluded that the Strategic Review did 'not comprise a
sufficient information base for the NBN Co Board or the Minister to adopt an
alternative deployment path for the NBN'. The committee recommended the
preparation of a significantly revised strategic review addressing the errors
and inadequacies visible in the December 2013 document.[16]
1.27
The committee raised concerns about the governance arrangements for NBN
Co, finding that key appointment processes to the board and management of the
company following the change of government were conducted in such a way as to
create 'the perception, at least, that these are political appointments for a
political purpose',[17]
and queried the board's endorsement of the Strategic Review 'given its clear
deficiencies'.[18]
1.28
The committee also assessed that transparency had 'decreased markedly at
NBN Co since the change of government', noting difficulties experienced both by
the committee itself and by members of the public in gaining access to key
documents and statistics, and answers to questions on notice.[19]
1.29
The recommendations of the committee's first interim report are provided
at Appendix 4.
The government's response to the first interim report
1.30
The government's response to the committee's interim report was not provided
until 13 August 2014. It did not engage with any of the substantive issues
raised in the first interim report. Instead, it referred to political material
contained in the Coalition Senators' dissenting report, and to an article published
by the Minister for Communications, the Hon Malcolm Turnbull MP, on his blog on
2 May 2014, Response to the Senate Select Committee on the NBN.[20]
1.31
In that document, the minister stated that the government 'categorically
rejects each one of [the committee's] claims' that the cost, revenue and
rollout figures in the Strategic Review were distorted.[21]
The Minister rather reiterated the bases cited in the Strategic Review for its
conclusions on these matters.
1.32
The minister also offered '[a] response... to several NBN myths
perpetrated in the interim report',[22]
rejecting for example the assertion of the committee that efficiencies and
improvements already in train would cut FTTP costs significantly, to resemble
the Strategic Review's 'radically redesigned' scenario rather than the 'revised
outlook'. The Minister stated that the consultants to the Strategic Review had
advised that $3.9 billion of the $4.9 billion design-related savings identified
by NBN Co and cited by the committee were still at a preliminary phase, not yet
approved by the Board of Directors, and inconsistent with the extant (2012) NBN
Co corporate plan.[23]
The remaining $1 billion efficiencies were discounted by 50 per cent in the
Strategic Review due to 'long lead times and uncertainty over the magnitude of
cost reduction'.[24]
1.33
In addition, the minister expressed scepticism as to whether, under the
oversight of a Labor government, NBN Co could have achieved the 'vast
transformation in organisational culture, behaviour and capabilities necessary'
to implement the Strategic Review's 'radically redesigned' FTTP model.[25]
1.34
The minister's response rejected the committee's criticism that the need
to upgrade the network in future was not factored into the forecast costs for
the MTM, and then confirmed that this was the case. The minister stated that:
The Strategic Review's discussion of upgrade paths is
necessarily illustrative because there is no certainty when (or whether) the
upgrades described will be required as a response to increased demand for
broadband.
In addition, there is also considerable uncertainty about the
future path of technological advances...
It is not accurate to state that the Strategic Review is
silent on these costs, however. On the contrary, its analysis demonstrates that
even after allowing for possible future upgrade costs, there is a significant
net benefit in choosing the multi-technology mix NBN over FTTP.[26]
1.35
The minister argued that 'a credible upgrade path' to download speeds of
100Mbps or more was available for all of the technologies in the MTM fixed line
footprint, but these were not likely to be needed—if at all—until at least the
2020s, and delaying upgrade would result in reduced costs.[27]
1.36
The minister refuted the committee's concerns about decreased
transparency within NBN Co, defending the redactions in the published Strategic
Review as 'modest' and necessary, and stating that measures had rather been
taken to increase transparency within NBN Co since the change of government.[28]
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